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J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Fri 10.6.17 **PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT**
J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Fri 10.6.17
*
PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT*
Morning Levels
- US S&P futures are down 1-2 points.
- Asia: Japan Nikkei +0.30%, Japan TOPIX +0.28%, China closed, Hong Kong +0.28%, KOSPI closed, Taiwan +0.14%, Australia +1.04%
- EuroStoxx 50 -0.26%, FTSE +0.17%, DAX +0.07%, CAC -0.17%, Italy -0.82%, Spain -0.91%
- USD (DXY) up 0.08%, EUR down 0.04%, GBP down 0.50%, JPY down 0.12%, CNY Onshore up 0.12%, CNH Offshore up 0.02%, AUD down 0.23%
- VIX up 0.65% to 9.25
- Gold up 0.13% to $1,269.01
- Silver down 0.11% to $16.62
- Copper up 0.25% to $305.40
- WTI Crude down 0.79% to $50.39
- Brent Crude down 0.18% to $56.90
- Natural Gas down 0.44% to $2.91
- Corn down 0.07% to $3.49/bu
- Wheat up 0.06% to $4.41/bu
- Bitcoin up 1.55% to $4,414.56
- Treasuries 2yr yields are up ~1.3bps at 1.500%, 10yr yields are up ~1.6bps at 2.364% and 30yr yields are up ~0.9bps at 2.899%
- Japan 10yr yields 0.045%, up ~1.0bps on the day
- France 10yr yields 0.750%, up ~1.9bps on the day
- Italy 10yr yields 2.156%, up ~1.8bps on the day
- Spain 10yr yields 1.704%, up ~1.8bps on the day
- Germany 10yr yields 0.474%, up ~2.2bps on the day
Trading Update
- What’s happening this morning? It was another slow evening of news other than the German Aug factory order numbers (which were very strong although the euro and Eurozone stocks are both in the red), a few US earnings reports (COST and YUMC), andsome M&A (GIMO, HON, JWN, PENN/PNK, SNCR, and more). The overall macro narrativeremains the same as it was at the Thurs close (see below for an update on the macro narrative as well as potential upcoming risks). The major Asian indices generally saw gains – TPX +0.28%, NKY +0.3%, Hang Seng +0.28%, HSCEI +0.54%, Taiwan +0.14%, Australia +1.04%, and India +0.5-7% (mainland China and Korea were both closed). There weren’t any huge themes in Asia although Macau casino stocks were weak in HK on back of underwhelming Golden Week visitor numbers (autos and financials led HK on the upside). Australia’s 1% rally was led by banks, miners, and telecoms. The major Eurozone indices are trading off small (~10-20bp); autos are outperforming while banks, retail, energy, and utilities lag. The GBP is extending its losses from Thurs amid more uncertainty around UK PM May (the DXY spiked ~50bp Thurs and is up small so far Fri morning). US S&P futures are trading down 1-2 points.
- Calendar for Fri 10/6 – the focus will be on the US jobs report for Sept (8:30amET), US wholesale inventories/trade sales for Aug (10amET), US consumer credit for Aug (3pmET), and Fed speakers (Kaplan 8:30amET on CNBC, Bostic 9:15amET, Dudley 12:15pmET, Kaplan 12:45pmET, and Bullard 1pmET). o US jobs preview – there is very little anticipation or focus on the Sept jobs report (Fri morning 8/6 8:30amET) as 1) most are anticipating large storm-related distortions and 2) at this point in the cycle it only requires ~75K monthly adds to keep the UR steady (as was discussed in this JPMorgan report http://bit.ly/2fbT6cE). The St is in print at +80K for adds (vs. ADP for Sept at +135K and Aug BLS +156K) w/a 4.4% UR (unchanged w/Aug) and wages +0.3% M/M and +2.5% Y/Y (vs. Aug +0.1% M/M and +2.5% Y/Y). It’s very difficult to see the Sept BLS report changing the near-term US monetary policy trajectory (w/ongoing normalization and a FF hike on 12/13). The potential for a hike on 11/1 is very low and if anything the Sept CPI on Fri 10/13 may be a more important data point than jobs on Fri 10/6. Instead, the bigger Fed uncertainty has nothing to do w/data or policy but instead concerns staffing (i.e. who will be the next chair? A Trump announcement could come as soon as next week – Powell and Warsh are the frontrunners according to media reports w/the former appearing to have a slight edge).
Top Headlines for Friday
- Eco data recap for Fri morning 10/6 – the big data came out of Germany where factory orders for Aug beat expectations by a wide margin (orders +3.6% M/M vs. the St +0.7% and +7.8% Y/Y vs. the St +4.7%). See JPMorgan’s comments on the German data (http://bit.ly/2y42sh4). Japan’s wage inflation figures for Aug were soft, as expected (http://bit.ly/2kuygr0). o Fed chair – markets would be comfortable w/any of the main candidates (including Powell, Warsh, Cohn, Yellen, etc.) w/the exception of one person: John Taylor. Bloomberg. o Fed update – Kansas City Fed President George spoke Thurs night and said the US economy needed further rates hikes (http://cnb.cx/2kqTiqj). JPMorgan’s Mike Feroli published an updated FOMC hawk/dove chart following the confirmation of Quarles (http://bit.ly/2z1jSti). o Japan’s “Party of Hope” unveils an economic agenda that pledges to rely less on aggressive fiscal and monetary stimulus – Reuters http://reut.rs/2ghahXu o AUD hit as RBA’s Harper doesn’t rule out a rate cut in a WSJ article. http://on.wsj.com/2xW3nkD
- UK PM May the subject of more speculation amid disclosure of plot to topple her; former party chairman, Grant Shapps, said May’s leadership should now be challenged. Reuters http://reut.rs/2yMrmzB
- Spain/Catalonia – Spain’s Constitutional Court ordered the suspension of the Catalan parliament’s regional session scheduled for Mon; Catalonia had planned on declaring independence at the session. Reuters http://reut.rs/2xlDfjC o Spain’s gov’t will change rules and make it easier for firms to move their legal base out of Catalonia – Reuters http://reut.rs/2z1WQCF
- Tax update - there is a lot of focus on taxes in the US as the Senate Budget Committee (right at the Thurs close) and the full House (at ~1pmET Thurs afternoon) advance budget resolutions (the full Senate will presumably vote within the next two weeks). This is a necessary step in the tax process (as these resolutions contain the reconciliation instructions allowing tax to pass via a simple majority in the Senate) but also a relatively minor one. Far more complicated will be agreeing on rates, deduction schedules, deficits, etc., and if anything all the press in the last few days and weeks point to divisions within the GOP on these matters being larger than anticipated. o Schumer warns that the proposal to eliminate the SALT deduction will kill the GOP tax plan – Bloomberg. https://bloom.bg/2xXX8KL o GOP desire to repeal the estate tax runs into resistance - from Republicans. As a result this piece of the 9/27 tax blueprint (among others) may wind up being scrapped - WSJ. http://on.wsj.com/2gf9G8E o Fed officials express concern over tax plans – Fed officials warned the tax plan may only provide a temporary boost to growth while fueling inflation and driving debt to unsustainable levels – Reuters http://reut.rs/2xWMrdG
- Republican headaches keep growing as donors withhold money, a tax consensus fails to materialize, and “establishment” figures depart the scene (Strange losing to Moore, Corker retiring, etc.). Republican leaders are increasingly concerned about the party’s grip on the House and Senate should it fail to pass a tax bill. Leaders “fear that the inchoate populism that Mr. Trump personifies, and which Mr. Bannon is attempting to weaponize against incumbents, is on the march” – NYT http://nyti.ms/2y3lUKT
- Trump looks to jolt NAFTA – the White House is considering a proposal that would represent a radical shift to the principles underlying NAFTA. According to rule changes being considered, automobiles would need to have a specific level of US-made content in order to qualify for tariff breaks (right now autos only need to have a specific level of content from within the NAFTA region). WSJ. http://on.wsj.com/2y4LXlo
- Trump makes cryptic comment ahead of a dinner with US military leaders. Trump said the dinner might represent “the calm before the storm”. Asked repeatedly by reporters to clarify his comments, Trump said, “You’ll find out” – Bloomberg https://bloom.bg/2xXI2r6
- Trump was “furious” over NBC’s Tillerson “moron” article; John Kelly was forced to rearrange his schedule and stayed in Washington in order to try and calm tensions – NBC. http://nbcnews.to/2fOGx3B
- Iran/Trump – Trump will “decertify” the Iran nuclear accord next week (speech on 10/12) and declare the agreement as not being in the US national interest according to the Washington Post (article out at ~2:40pmET Thurs afternoon). This is consistent w/what the AP and Politico reported earlier in the week. Note that Trump’s 10/12 declarations won’t end the Iranian nuclear pact as it will be up to Congress whether re-impose sanctions on Tehran (and Trump will hold off on recommending such a step). Washington Post http://wapo.st/2z1zeOw o Decertifying the Iran Deal Wouldn’t Have to Kill It – WSJ http://on.wsj.com/2y40dKY
- North Korea – US lawmakers are pressuring the Trump White House to toughen sanctions against North Korea – WSJ. http://on.wsj.com/2xlKdVQ
- The Economist's lead article this week speaks to sentiment at the moment and this is one of the big reasons why stocks are proving to be so resilient. "Asset prices are high across the board. Is it time to worry?" (http://econ.st/2xVXOjv). o The WSJ notes that a key European junk-bond index is now yielding less than 10yr US TSYs although it offers a reasonable explanation for this ostensibly irrational price level – WSJ. http://on.wsj.com/2xkwYVb
- Company-specific news update from Thurs night. There were a few earnings reports out Thurs AMC but for the most part it was another slow evening. COST EPS beats thanks to better SG&A and favorable tax while GMs were light; Sept same-store-sales beat w/upside in the US (the stock ended down 3% during the Thurs after-hours trading session). YUMC’s results came in ahead of expectations (EPS/same-store-sales) and it increased capital return. SNCR reentered M&A talks w/Siris Capital (Siris is looking to buy SNCR’s Intralinks and may take a ~20% equity stake in SNCR); SNCR ended up ~27% during the Thurs after-hours trading session. According to the WSJ, HON is pursuing an acquisition of Evoqua Water Tech in a deal that could be worth $3B (http://on.wsj.com/2yseCSp). The WSJ reported (during trading on Thurs http://on.wsj.com/2xjE24p) on merger talks between PENN and PNK (the firms have been unable to agree to terms but PENN is still interested in buying PNK).
- JWN buyout not completely dead – the Nordstrom family is exploring a new deal structure w/Leonard Green that would involve less debt. The family is trying to raise more equity (although it isn’t clear where the money will come from). WSJ. http://on.wsj.com/2ggTvbh
- GIMO – Elliot’s takeover talks w/the company have ground to a halt according to Reuters over price disagreements – Reuters http://reut.rs/2fNCepo
- SUM, ASHG – SUM has made a rival bid for ASHG as it looks to scuttle the existing Ash Grove-CRH PLC transaction. Ash Grove’s board said the offer could result in a superior proposal and that it would engage in talks with the third party. Bloomberg.
- AMZN: the one market where Amazon is failing to dominate: Hollywood. The WSJ discusses AMZN’s failure to become a force in content. WSJ. http://on.wsj.com/2xZcJtr
- Macau casino stocks slump during Fri trading as Golden Week visitor numbers disappoint expectations – Bloomberg https://bloom.bg/2fOuGmd
Identifying risks – what could go wrong?
- Reflation enthusiasm is undercut by less aggressive CB normalization, dramatic curve flattening, and/or a softening in nominal growth. Of all the reflation pieces (monetary policy normalization, expansionary fiscal policy, firming inflation, and ongoing real growth strength), the last piece (real growth) is increasingly being taken for granted.
- Bank investors wind up focusing too much on reflation/yields (which are tailwinds) but miss weakening credit (higher provisions) and tepid loan growth.
- The first speech by the next Fed chair unsettles sentiment (assuming the chair isn’t Yellen).
- The tax process slows in Washington as Republicans prove incapable of reaching a consensus on rates, deductions, and deficits.
- Paul Ryan decides to “pull a Boehner”, stepping down as Speaker out of frustration with his inability to pass legislation.
- The final tax bill results in materially higher rates for upper-income Americans.
- May winds up stepping down as UK PM, sowing ongoing Brexit uncertainty.
- Abe does much worse than anticipated during the upcoming Japan election (10/22).
- North Korea conducts an above-ground nuclear bomb test (or even worse, an atmospheric test).
- Iran decides to resume its nuclear weapons program, sparking an immediate escalation of Middle East geopolitical tensions (Trump’s Iran speech is coming up on 10/12).
- Washington introduces (or threatens to introduce) tough new regulations aimed at internet/social media companies following the Russia election investigations (note that US internet giants will be testifying before Congress on 11/1).
- Prominent members of the Trump team decide to leave the gov’t (the market would be particularly sensitive to Tillerson, Mattis, Kelly, and/or Cohn departing; recent media reports suggest the Tillerson-Trump relationship is particularly strained).
Macro Update
- The pro-reflation bias commenced back on 9/11 and has been propelled ever since by ongoing real growth strength, firming inflation, normalizing monetary policy/rhetoric, and expansionary fiscal policy (in particular in the US w/the 9/27 tax blueprint but also in Germany following that country’s election outcome and fin min change).
- This enthusiasm can extend for a few more weeks but the ECB/BOE decisions (on 10/26 and 11/2, respectively) will mark the culmination of a series of pro-reflation catalysts/developments and thus the trade may enter a period of extended consolidation around those central bank events.
- Meanwhile the nuances of this present reflation process aren’t being appreciated – growth and corporate earnings are late-cycle (not early), multiples are already rich (although not necessarily ridiculous), inflation is only very gradually firming to target, the economy faces enormous structural headwinds in the form of labor supply and productivity growth, and while central banks are normalizing policy will stay extremely accommodative for years to come (the structural headwinds and slow tightening pace will prevent yields from materially rising and curves from significantly steepening).
- The tenor of sentiment is beginning to evolve and there is definitely greater frustration w/people being forced to participate in a tape many don’t particularly love at present levels – this helps fuel runs such has occurred over the last few weeks (the SPX hasn’t closed in the red since Mon 9/25) but it also makes for a precarious setup w/a lot of weak “renters” who will be quick to sell the minute momentum pauses.
- Bottom Line: the lack of major catalysts is helping the rally propagate and the calendar is relatively clear until earnings (which kick off w/banks on Thurs 10/12). The reflation impetus will likely stay in place into the ECB/BOE (10/26 and 11/2, respectively) after which a consolidation (at least) is likely (note that a lot of the “easy” tax steps are occurring now – the blueprint on 9/27, the budget resolutions, etc. However, reaching a consensus on rates, deductions, and deficits will be extremely difficult and this will become more apparent later in Oct and into Nov, around the same time as the ECB/BOE decisions).
Calendar of events to watch for the week of Mon Oct 9
- Calendar for the week of 10/9 – overall it should be a relatively slow week although a few items are in focus. The current reflation emphasis makes the US CPI on Fri 10/13 prob. the single most important eco data point of the week but there are other numbers in focus (German trade/IP for Aug and China imports/exports for Sept). The CQ3 earnings season kicks off in earnest with the banks on Thurs and Friday. Away from scheduled events, media reports suggest Catalonia could formally declare independence on Mon (although this could easily be delayed following court challenges and as the region’s leaders seek a settlement w/Madrid) while the White House may unveil its infrastructure spending blueprint during the week of 10/9 (http://bit.ly/2wwiop9). South Korean security officials have warned that North Korea may fire additional missiles between 10/10 and 10/18 while Trump’s Fed chair selection could come soon (media reports suggest Powell and Warsh are the two frontrunners). Trump is expected to deliver an Iranian policy speech on/around Thurs 10/12 during which he will declare the nuclear deal as no longer being in the US national interest. HON has said it will announce its formal portfolio review decision prior to earnings (media reports, including on CNBC, suggest it will retain its aerospace unit).
- Calendar for Mon 10/9 – the day should be pretty quiet owing to the US Columbus Day holiday (equities will be open but fixed income is closed). The focus will be on the China FX reserve numbers for Sept (Fri night/Sat morning 10/7), the China Caixin services PMI for Sept (Sun night/Mon morning), Germany’s industrial production for Aug (2amET), and earnings (LVMH reports results after the European close).
- Calendar for Tues 10/10 – the focus will be on the German trade figures for Aug (2amET), a bunch of analyst meetings (including TECD, Santander, WDAY, and WMT), the PG shareholder meeting (at which the Trian/Peltz board seat request will be voted on), and earnings (CUDA after the close).
- Calendar for Wed 10/11 – the focus will be on the US JOLTs report for Aug (10amET), Fed minutes from the 9/20 meeting (2pmET), analyst meetings (KR), and earnings (DAL, BLK, FAST, and OZRK before the open).
- Calendar for Thurs 10/12 – the focus will be on Eurozone IP for Aug (5amET), the US PPI for Sept (8:30amET), Trump’s Iran speech, analyst meetings (BOX, HPQ, LSCC, and WDC), and earnings (C, DPZ, JPM, LNN, Sky PLC, and Tata Consultancy pre-open).
- Calendar for Fri 10/13 – the focus will be on China’s imports/exports for Sept (Thurs night/Fri morning), the US CPI for Sept (8:30amET), US retail sales for Sept (8:30amET), the Michigan Confidence numbers for Oct (10amET), US business inventories for Aug (10amET), analyst meetings (SAFM), and earnings (BAC, DRFG, FHN, FRC, JBHT, Man Group, PNC, and WFC pre-open).
Catalysts – big events to watch over the coming months
- China mainland markets closed Mon 10/2-Fri 10/6 for the National Day holiday.
- US jobs report for Sept – Fri 10/6.
- US infrastructure spending - the Trump White House may unveil its long-anticipated infrastructure plan during the week of 10/9 according to House Transport chairman Rep. Bill Shuster.
- North Korea - South Korea’s national security adviser Chung Eui-yong said he expected Pyongyang to act around Oct. 10 and 18 (Reuters).
- WMT analyst meeting – Tues 10/10 (note that KR has an analyst meeting the next day, Wed 10/11).
- PG shareholder meeting – Tues 10/10 (decision to be made on Peltz’s board seat request).
- Fed minutes – minutes from the 9/20 meeting will be released Wed 10/11. 2pmET.
- HON – the co will announce its portfolio review decision before earnings in Oct.
- Iran - Trump is planning to deliver an Iran policy speech on 10/12 and he is expected to say that the landmark 2015 nuclear deal is no longer in the U.S. national security interest (AP)
- Bank earnings – the CQ3 earnings season kicks off w/Citigroup and JPM Thurs morning 10/12 while BAC, PNC, and WFC all report Fri 10/13.
- US inflation – the Sept CPI will hit Fri 10/13.
- IMF/World Bank - 2017 Annual Meetings of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund. Oct 13-15 in Washington.
- CQ3 earnings – the week of Mon 10/16 is the first busy week of the CQ3 reporting season.
- Fed chair decision during the week of 10/16? Based on Trump’s “two to three” weeks comment (on Fri 9/29), his decision on a Fed chair could come as soon as the week of 10/16 (this week is also the first busy period of the CQ3 earnings season, the deadline for Trump to rule on the Iran nuclear deal, and the beginning of the China National Congress on 10/18). Media reports suggest the Fed chair frontrunners are Warsh and Powell followed by Yellen and Cohn.
- China - the National Congress of the Communist Party of China starts Oct 18.
- China Q3 GDP and Sept retail sales, IP, and FAI (Wed night/Thurs morning) – Thurs morning 10/19.
- EU leaders hold summit in Brussels. Oct 19-20. Brussels.
- Japan – the country will hold snap elections on Sun 10/22.
- Flash PMIs for Oct – Tues 10/24
- ECB meeting/press conf. Thurs Oct 26. The ECB is expected to provide guidance on LSAP tapering at this meeting (St assumes LSAP drops from EU60B now to EU40B w/6 month extension).
- US Q3 GDP report – Fri 10/27
- US inflation – US PCE for Sept. Mon 10/30.
- US wage inflation – Q3 ECI (Employment Cost Index) Tues 10/31.
- Fed meeting – decision Wed 11/1 (no press conf. or supplemental).
- FB/TWTR testifying before Senate on Russia and the election – Wed 11/1.
- BOE decision – Thurs 11/2. The BOE is expected to hike rates at this meeting.
- Trump trip to China – he is scheduled to visit China in November.
- GE – the co will likely hold an analyst meeting 11/13 at which it will provide a refresh of its long-term financial guidance.
- US inflation – the Oct CPI will hit on Wed 11/15.
- Fed meeting minutes (from the 11/1 meeting) – Wed 11/22.
- Flash PMIs for Nov. Fri 11/24.
- OPEC meeting – the next formal OPEC leaders meeting is Nov 30 (a decision on extending the production agreement beyond Mar ’18 could be reached at this gathering).
- US gov’t funding/debt ceiling – current legislation funds the gov’t and suspends the debt ceiling until 12/8 (the debt ceiling is unlikely to become binding again until “well into” 2018).
- Alabama special Senate election – Tues 12/12.
- Fed meeting – decision Wed Dec 13. There will be a press conf. and supplemental. The Fed is expected to hike rates at this meeting.
- ECB meeting/press conf. Thurs Dec 14.
- BOE decision – Thurs 12/14.
Opinion/Interesting-but-not-immediately-impactful/intra-day boredom reading
- Why the Fed Won’t Stand in the Way of Trump’s Tax Cuts – WSJ http://on.wsj.com/2hPLq0H
- Will Trump Trumpify the Fed? NYT http://nyti.ms/2fWGred
- Tax Reform Down Payment – WSJ http://on.wsj.com/2xW9UM1
- Why America Needs Tax Reform – WSJ http://on.wsj.com/2xXNkTe
- The case for brinksmanship with North Korea – Washington Post http://wapo.st/2wBi3Sk
- Decertifying the Iran Deal Wouldn’t Have to Kill It – WSJ http://on.wsj.com/2y40dKY
- The nuclear issue isn’t the real Iranian challenge – Washington Post http://wapo.st/2yMrZcb
- Siemens CEO: America Invented Globalization—Why Give It Up? The Atlantic http://theatln.tc/2y47Zo2
- The Culture of Death—and of Disdain – WSJ http://on.wsj.com/2fR1r2i
- Guns and the Soul of America – NYT http://nyti.ms/2y52LsK
- The Cancer in the Constitution – NYT http://nyti.ms/2kswg2r
- My company’s carbon footprint is the size of a small country. We need to act. Washington Post. http://wapo.st/2fWXc8V
- The single greatest thing Republicans need right now – Washington Post http://wapo.st/2wBTG76
- 1949: The Year That Set the Course of Chinese-American Relations – NYT http://nyti.ms/2z2hGSv M&A/Strategic Actions
- Brooklyn Nets – multiple suitors are in talks to buy a 49% stake in the NBA deal. Mikhail Prokhorov is seeking a valuation of >$2B for the entire team. NY Post. http://nyp.st/2y3KFY0 o Brooklyn Nets – BABA denied that its vice chairman, Joseph Tsai, was in talks to buy a stake in the Nets – Reuters http://reut.rs/2yuCBRa
- GIMO – Elliot’s takeover talks w/the company have ground to a halt according to Reuters over price disagreements – Reuters http://reut.rs/2fNCepo
- HON - according to the WSJ, HON is pursuing an acquisition of Evoqua Water Tech in a deal that could be worth $3B (http://on.wsj.com/2yseCSp).
- HPQ, Samsung – China said it will approve HPQ’s purchase of Samsung’s printer business – Reuters http://reut.rs/2y06khP
- JWN buyout not completely dead – the Nordstrom family is exploring a new deal structure w/Leonard Green that would involve less debt. The family is trying to raise more equity (although it isn’t clear where the money will come from). WSJ. http://on.wsj.com/2ggTvbh
- PENN, PNK - the WSJ reported (during trading on Thurs http://on.wsj.com/2xjE24p) on merger talks between PENN and PNK (the firms have been unable to agree to terms but PENN is still interested in buying PNK).
- Retailers helped through bankruptcy process – Reuters notes that many retailers are obtaining help during the bankruptcy process w/many being allowed to stay in business w/their store bases largely intact – Reuters http://reut.rs/2y3NcAN
- SNCR - On October 4, 2017, SNCR and Siris determined to restart discussions regarding a potential transaction. Specifically, Siris is offering to buy Intralinks for $915MM cash, invest $185MM for a convert worth ~20% of SNCR’s common shares, and cancel the ~6MM SNCR common shares it now owns.
- SUM, ASHG – SUM has made a rival bid for ASHG as it looks to scuttle the existing Ash Grove-CRH PLC transaction. Ash Grove’s board said the offer could result in a superior proposal and that it would engage in talks with the third party. Bloomberg.
- Unilever – the co is seeking PE bids for its spreads business by 10/19; a sale could be worth $8B – Reuters http://reut.rs/2fNDYPe
Full catalyst list
- Fri Oct 6 – German factory orders for Aug. 2amET.
- Fri Oct 6 – US jobs report for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Fri Oct 6 – US wholesale inventories/trade sales for Aug. 10amET.
- Fri Oct 6 – US consumer credit for Aug. 3pmET.
- Fri Oct 6 – Fed speakers: Bostic, Kaplan, Bullard
- Sat Oct 7 – China FX reserves for Sept (Fri night/Sat morning)
- Mon Oct 9 – China Caixin services PMI for Sept (Sun night/Mon morning)
- Mon Oct 9 – German industrial production for Aug. 2amET.
- Mon Oct 9 – earnings after the European close: LVMH.
- Mon Oct 9 – Columbus Day holiday in the US (equities will be open while fixed income is closed).
- Tues Oct 10 – German trade balance for Aug. 2amET.
- Tues Oct 10 – analyst meetings: TECD, Santander, WDAY, WMT
- Tues Oct 10 – PG shareholder meeting
- Tues Oct 10 – earnings after the close: CUDA
- Wed Oct 11 – US JOLTs report for Aug. 10amET.
- Wed Oct 11 – Fed minutes from the Sept 20 meeting (2pmET).
- Wed Oct 11 – analyst meetings: KR
- Wed Oct 11 – earnings before the open: BLK, DAL, FAST, OZRK.
- Thurs Oct 12 – Eurozone industrial production for Aug. 5amET.
- Thurs Oct 12 – US PPI for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Thurs Oct 12 – analyst meetings: BOX, HPQ, LSCC, WDC.
- Thurs Oct 12 – earnings before the open: C, DPZ, JPM, LNN, Sky PLC, Tata Consultancy.
- Thurs Oct 12 – earnings after the close: EXFO
- Fri Oct 13 – China imports/exports for Sept (Thurs night/Fri morning)
- Fri Oct 13 – US CPI for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Fri Oct 13 – US retail sales for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Fri Oct 13 – US Michigan Sentiment for Oct. 10amET.
- Fri Oct 13 – US business inventories for Aug. 10amET.
- Fri Oct 13 – analyst meetings: SAFM
- Fri Oct 13 – earnings before the open: BAC, DRFG, FHN, FRC, JBHT, Man Group, PNC, WFC.
- Mon Oct 16 – China CPI/PPI for Sept (Sun night/Mon morning)
- Mon Oct 16 – Eurozone trade balance for Aug. 5amET.
- Mon Oct 16 – earnings before the open: SCHW
- Mon Oct 16 – earnings after the close: BRO, IEX, NFLX, Rio Tinto
- Tues Oct 17 – Eurozone Sept auto registrations. 2amET.
- Tues Oct 17 – German ZEW survey results for Oct. 5amET.
- Tues Oct 17 – US import prices for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Tues Oct 17 – US industrial production for Sept. 9:15amET.
- Tues Oct 17 – US NAHB housing index for Oct. 10amET.
- Tues Oct 17 – earnings before the open: BMI, CMA, CSX, GS, GWW, HOG, JNJ, MS, Pearson, PLD, Remy Cointreau, UNH
- Tues Oct 17 – earnings after the close: ADTN, BHP, CP, CREE, IBM, LRCX, NAVI.
- Wed Oct 18 – US housing starts for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Wed Oct 18 – US building permits fro Sept. 8:30amET.
- Wed Oct 18 – US Beige Book. 2pmET.
- Wed Oct 18 – earnings before the open: ABT, Akzo Nobel, MTB, NTRS, USB
- Wed Oct 18 – earnings after the close: AA, AXP, BHE, CCI, CCK, EBAY, LLNW, SLG, TCBI
- Thurs Oct 19 – China Q3 GDP and Sept retail sales, IP, and FAI (Wed night/Thurs morning)
- Thurs Oct 19 – US Leading Index for Sept. 10amET.
- Thurs Oct 19 – earnings before the open: ADS, BBT, BK, DGX, DHR, GPC, KEY, Nestle, Pernod Ricard, PM, PPG, Publicis, RCI, Roche, SAP, SON, Thales, TRV, TSMC, TXT, Unilever, VZ, WBC.
- Thurs Oct 19 – earnings after the close: ATHN, ISRG, LHO, MXIM, NCR, PBCT, WDFC, WERN.
- Fri Oct 20 – US existing home sales for Sept. 10amET.
- Fri Oct 20 – earnings before the open: Assa Abloy, BHGE, CFG, CLF, Daimler, DST, GE, GNTX, KSU, SLB, STI, SYF, TomTom, Volvo.
- Mon Oct 23 – China Sept property prices (Sun night/Mon morning).
- Mon Oct 23 – US Chicago Fed Activity Index for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Mon Oct 23 – earnings before the open: HAL, HAS, ITW, KMB, STT, VFC
- Mon Oct 23 – earnings after the close: ARNC, CR, OI
- Tues Oct 24 – Eurozone flash PMIs for Oct. 4amET.
- Tues Oct 24 – US flash PMIs for Oct. 9:45amET.
- Tues Oct 24 – earnings before the open: AMTD, Anglo American, BASF, BIIB, CAT, CLB, CNC, FITB, GLW, GM, INFY, LLY, LMT, MAS, MCD, MMM, Novartis, PCAR, PHM, PNR, R, RF, SAH, SHW, SWK, WAT, WDR.
- Tues Oct 24 – earnings after the close: AKAM, AMP, CMG, COF, DFS, ESRX, IRBT, T, TSS, TXN.
- Wed Oct 25 – US durable goods for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Wed Oct 25 – US FHFA home price index for Aug. 9amET.
- Wed Oct 25 – US new home sales for Sept. 10amET.
- Wed Oct 25 – earnings before the open: ALK, ALLY, ANTM, Antofagasta, AOS, BA, BAX, Dassault Systemes, DPS, FCX, FLIR, Fresnillo, HBAN, Heineken, IP, IR, KO, LEA, LH, Lloyds Banking Group, NDAQ, NSC, NYCB, Peugeot, TMO, TUP, V, WBA, WEC.
- Wed Oct 25 – earnings after the close: ABX, ACGL, AFL, AMGN, CLGX, DLR, FFIV, FTI, KIM, LSTR, NOW, ORLY, PKG, PLXS, RJF, TSCO, UNM, VAR, XLNX.
- Thurs Oct 26 – US wholesale inventories for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Thurs Oct 26 – US advance goods trade balance for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Thurs Oct 26 – US pending home sales for Sept. 10amET.
- Thurs Oct 26 – earnings before the open: Aixtron, ALLE, ALV, Anheuser Busch, APD, Bayer, BMY, BSX, BWA, CCMP, CELG, CHTR, CMCSA, CME, Deutsche Bank, ENTG, EQT, F, HLT, MMC, NEM, Nokia, ODFL, Santander, Schneider Electric, UNP, UPS, WM, XEL.
- Thurs Oct 26 – earnings after the close: AIV, ATEN, CB, CDNS, EXPE, FLEX, FTNT, GILD, GOOG, HIG, INTC, LPLA, MSFT, NATI, PFG, SYK, VDSI, VRSN.
- Fri Oct 27 – China Sept industrial profits (Thurs night/Fri morning).
- Fri Oct 27 – US Q3 GDP, personal consumption, and core PCE for Q3. 8:30amET.
- Fri Oct 27 – US Michigan Confidence numbers for Oct. 10amET.
- Fri Oct 27 – earnings before the open: B, MRK, PSX, SC, TRU, Volkswagen, WY, XOM.
- Mon Oct 30 – US personal income/spending and PCE for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Mon Oct 30 – US Dallas Fed index for Oct. 10:30amET.
- Mon Oct 30 – analyst meetings: CSX
- Mon Oct 30 – earnings before the open: HSBC
- Mon Oct 30 – earnings after the close: AVB, CGNX, RE, RTEC, VNO
- Tues Oct 31 – US Employment Cost Index for Q3. 8:30amET.
- Tues Oct 31 – US Case-Shiller home price index for Aug. 9amET.
- Tues Oct 31 – US Chicago PMI for Oct. 9:45amET.
- Tues Oct 31 – US Conference Board Sentiment readings for Oct. 10amET.
- Tues Oct 31 – earnings before the open: ADM, AET, Airbus, AMT, Barclays, BNP, CMI, ECL, GGP, K, MA, OSK, PFE, XYL.
- Tues Oct 31 – earnings after the close: APC, CHRW, CXO, WFT, X
- Wed Nov 1 – US ADP jobs report for Oct. 8:15amET.
- Wed Nov 1 – US Markit Manufacturing PMI for Oct. 9:45amET.
- Wed Nov 1 – US Manufacturing ISM for Oct. 10amET.
- Wed Nov 1 – US construction spending report for Sept. 10amET.
- Wed Nov 1 – US auto sales for Oct.
- Wed Nov 1 – FOMC meeting decision. 2pmET.
- Wed Nov 1 – earnings before the open: AGN, APO, CLX, EL, GRMN, HFC, Novo Nordisk, ORBK, Standard Chartered, TAP, TRI.
- Wed Nov 1 – earnings after the close: ALL, BHF, BXP, CAVM, CSGS, FB, LNC, MANT, MET, MUSA, OXY, PRU, QCOM, ULTI, XPO.
- Thurs Nov 2 – US nonfarm productivity and unit labor costs for Q3. 8:30amET.
- Thurs Nov 2 – earnings before the open: ADP, AN, BCE, CI, Credit Suisse, DISCA, H, ICE, Royal Dutch Shell, Sanofi, Swiss Re, WRK.
- Thurs Nov 2 – earnings after the close: AAPL, AIG, CBS, CRUS, FLR, HLF, RMAX, SBUX, UNIT.
- Fri Nov 3 – US jobs report for Oct. 8:30amET.
- Fri Nov 3 – US trade balance for Sept. 8:30amET.
- Fri Nov 3 – US factory orders and durable goods orders for Sept. 10amET.
- Fri Nov 3 – US non-manufacturing ISM for Oct. 10amET.
- Tues Nov 7 – US JOLTs jobs report for Sept. 10amET.
- Tues Nov 7 – US consumer credit for Sept. 3pmET.
- Thurs Nov 9 – US wholesale trade sales/inventories for Sept. 10amET.
- Fri Nov 10 – US Michigan Confidence preliminary numbers for Nov. 10amET.
- Tues Nov 14 – US PPI for Oct. 8:30amET.
- Wed Nov 15 – US CPI for Oct. 8:30amET.
- Wed Nov 15 – US Empire Manufacturing for Nov. 8:30amET.
- Wed Nov 15 – US retail sales for Oct. 8:30amET.
- Wed Nov 15 – US business inventories for Sept. 10amET.
- Thurs Nov 16 – US import prices for Oct. 8:30amET.
- Thurs Nov 16 – US industrial production for Oct. 9:15amET.
- Thurs Nov 16 – US NAHB housing index for Nov. 10amET.
- Fri Nov 17 – US housing starts and building permits for Oct. 8:30amET.
- Mon Nov 20 – US Leading Index for Oct. 10amET.
- Tues Nov 21 – US existing home sales for Oct. 10amET.
- Wed Nov 22 – US durable goods for Oct. 8:30amET.
- Wed Nov 22 – US final Michigan Confidence numbers for Nov. 10amET.
- Wed Nov 22 – FOMC 11/1 meeting minutes. 2pmET.
- Fri Nov 24 – US flash PMIs for Nov. 9:45amET.
J.P. Morgan Market Intelligence is a product of the Institutional Equities Sales and Trading desk of J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and the intellectual property thereof. It is not a product of the Research Department and is intended for distribution to institutional and professional customers only and is not intended for retail customer use. It may not be reproduced, redistributed or transmitted, in whole or in part, without J.P. Morgan’s consent. Any unauthorized use is strictly prohibited.
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WWE Network Updates: 12/03/2016
The following shows have been added to the WWE Network today:
Hover over links for descriptions
In Ring
- Raw Replays
- 2010
- 2011
- Raw 944 - 06/27/2011 (Thomas & Mack Center - Las Vegas, NV)
- Raw 951 - 08/15/2011 (Valley View Casino Center - San Diego, CA)
- Raw 952 - 08/22/2011 (Rexall Place - Edmonton Alberta, CN)
- Raw 953 - 08/29/2011 (BOK Center - Tulsa, OK)
- Raw 954 - 09/05/2011 (Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH)
- Raw 955 - 09/12/2011 (Scotia Bank - Ottawa Ontario, CN)
- Raw 956 - 09/19/2011 (Quicken Loans Arena - Cleveland, OH)
- Raw 957 - 09/26/2011 (Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO)
- Raw 958 - 10/03/2011 (Cajundome - Lafayette, LA)
- Raw 959 - 10/10/2011 (Chesapeake Energy Arena - Oklahoma City, OK)
- Raw 960 - 10/17/2011 (Palacio De Los Deportes - Mexico City)
- Raw 961 - 10/24/2011 (Frank Erwin Center - Austin, TX)
- Raw 962 - 10/31/2011 (Philips Arena - Atlanta, GA)
- Raw 963 - 11/07/2011 (Echo Arena - Liverpool, England)
- Raw 964 - 11/14/2011 (TD Garden - Boston, MA)
- Raw 965 - 11/21/2011 (Giant Center - Hershey, PA)
- Raw 966 - 11/28/2011 (Colonial Life Arena - Columbia, SC)
- Raw 967 - 12/05/2011 (St. Pete Times Forum - Tampa, FL)
- Raw 969 - 12/19/2011 (Wells Fargo Arena - Philadelphia, PA)
- Raw 970 - 12/26/2011 (Allstate Arena - Chicago, IL)
- WWE Main Event Replays
- This Week In WWE
See what new shows are coming up on the schedule
Follow me on Twitter!
The wiki pages with all WWE Network content has also been updated.
I am a bot. I will edit this post if more content is added today. Please contact tonyg623 with any bugs or suggestions. Thanks!
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